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May 4, 2006 North Dakota’s Population Sees Slight Growth Despite Net Out-migration North Dakota experienced net out-migration of 2,205 people between 2004 and 2005. During the same time, the state experienced 2,562 more births than deaths (a natural increase). Because North Dakota’s natural increase was larger than net out-migration, the overall population for the state increased by 369 people between 2004 and 2005. This month’s “Population Bulletin,” a monthly publication from the North Dakota State Data Center at North Dakota State University, focuses on components of North Dakota’s population change (births, deaths and migration) between July 1, 2004, and July 1, 2005, as released from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Population Division. As of July 1, 2005, the state’s population totaled 636,677, up from 636,308 on July 1, 2004. Migration statistics are comprised of domestic and international (foreign) movement. North Dakota’s net out-migration of 2,205 people between 2004 and 2005 was largely the result of domestic movement. During this period, 2,908 people left North Dakota for another state. At the same time, the state experienced a net international in-migration of 703 people. The difference between domestic and foreign movement resulted in a net loss of 2,205 North Dakota residents due to migration alone. Between 2000 and 2004, North Dakota’s net out-migration declined annually, indicating a reduction in net loss. “The 2004-2005 level of net out-migration from the state is a reversal from this trend in net loss that started in 2000,” says Richard Rathge, State Data Center director. “Hopefully, the recent increase in net out-migration isn’t signaling an end to the trend of decreasing net out-migration in North Dakota.” Population change also is affected by natural change (births minus deaths). Between 2004 and 2005, North Dakota reported 8,068 births and 5,506 deaths. The difference between births and deaths resulted in a natural increase of 2,562 residents. When net migration (minus 2,205) and natural change (plus 2,562) are combined, the result is an overall population gain of 357 people. The reason this number (357) is slightly lower than the 369 total gain reported by the Census Bureau is because a national population control must be applied to state and county population estimates to align them to the national estimate. “Think of it as an attempt to control for rounding at the national level,” Rathge says. A natural increase was experienced in one-third of North Dakota counties between 2004 and 2005 (18 of 53 counties). Of these 18 natural increase counties, nine had net out-migration that exceeded the growth from natural increase. In addition, two counties with natural decline had net in-migration that exceeded the loss from the natural decline. As a result, 11 counties reported an increase in population between 2004 and 2005. ### Source: Richard
Rathge, (701) 231-8621, richard.rathge@ndsu.edu
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